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Middle East and Africa take 17% of global net additions
Africa accounted for 12 percent of global mobile net additions in 1Q 2010, adding 20.1 million new subscribers to the world population of mobile users, and giving Africa a total of 480.2 million subscribers. This is a rather neat 10.0 percent of the some 4.82 billion mobile subscribers estimated to exist at the end of March 2010.
By comparison the Middle East accounted for 5 percent of global mobile net additions, clocking up some 8.1 million in the first quarter. Together Africa & the Middle East therefore accounted for 17 percent of global net additions.
According to research by The Mobile World, 1Q 2010 saw net additions of 168 million, taking the total to 4.82 billion. China and India remain the world's largest, and accounted for almost 28 percent of the global total at the end of 1Q 2010, but their contribution to the net quarterly gain in connections was double this at 56 percent. The USA accounts for 3 percent of net additions: the same percentage as Brazil and Russia combined.
With the world population at around 6.8 billion, the global mobile penetration rate stood at just under 71 percent at the end of Q1 2010. Africa, by comparison, had a mobile penetration of 47 percent, whilst the Middle East hit 86 percent.
Source: COAI, The Mobile World, industry sources, Blycroft estimates c. Blycroft 2010
In the last twenty years, few industries have grown as fast as the worldwide mobile market. Having recorded a staggering 3.9 billion subscriber additions between end-2000 and end-2009 - a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23.3 percent - the worldwide mobile subscriber base is forecast to increase from 4.6 billion at end-2009 to 7.5 billion by end-2020.
This subscriber growth has propelled worldwide mobile penetration from 11.5 percent in 2000 to pass 64 percent by end-2009; by end-2020 it will touch 94 percent.
Up until 2000, Europe dominated the worldwide mobile market (in terms of subscriber numbers), but shortly thereafter Asia Pacific replaced Europe as the world leader and has continued to remain so in terms of subscriber base - even though Africa and Middle East is currently adding mobile subscribers to the worldwide base faster than any other region.
Since their 1992 launch, mobile value added services (VAS) - a key component of mobile services worldwide - have evolved from simple texting (SMS) to advanced functions such as mobile entertainment, payments, location-based services, e-mail and instant messaging (IM). Despite this evolution, Portio Research in a recent study notes that SMS remains the most popular mobile VAS offering in almost all mobile markets in the world.
In 2000, 303 million mobile handsets were shipped at a worldwide level; this figure will approach 1.5 billion by end-2014. Smartphones, with their myriad features and functions, are increasingly gaining prominence in the worldwide handset market.
All this...and more...is explored and explained in Portio Research's 'Worldwide Mobile Market Growth 2000-2020' which provides a comprehensive review of the global mobile industry. In outline it contains:
Introduction
A Journey through Time
Growth of Worldwide Mobile Subscriber base
Technology Penetration
Worldwide Mobile VAS Market
Worldwide Mobile Handset Market
Europe
Asia Pacific
North America
Latin America
Africa and Middle East
Recent Developments - Consolidation and M&A Activities
PLUS:
Details worldwide and regional mobile subscribers, and penetration (2000 - 2020F)
Learn about the evolution of mobile VAS and see worldwide mobile VAS Revenues for 2009
Graphic-heavy, text-light presentation in plain English
See worldwide and regional y-o-y mobile subscriber base growth data (2001 - 2020F)
Understand the extent of Asia Pacific?s dominance
Scrutinize worldwide mobile handset shipments and revenues (2000 - 2014F)
Fifteen country profiles: Germany, Italy, Russia, China, India, Indonesia, Canada, The US, Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Egypt, Iran, Nigeria, and South Africa
Contents Introduction .. 7 A Journey through Time .. 7 Growth of Worldwide Mobile Subscriber base . 9 Technology Penetration 16 Worldwide Mobile VAS Market.. 17 Worldwide Mobile Handset Market . 20 Europe . 22 Germany . 24 Italy . 25 Russia .. 27 Asia Pacific 29 China . 31 India .. 33 Indonesia . 34 North America .. 37 Canada . 39 The US . 40 Latin America 43 Argentina . 45 Brazil . 47 Mexico .. 48 Africa and Middle East .. 51 Egypt . 53 Iran . 55 Nigeria .. 56 South Africa 57 Recent Developments - Consolidation and M&A Activities 60 Also available from Portio Research Limited .. 61
List of Figures Figure 1: A Journey through Time - Snapshot . 7 Figure 2: Worldwide Mobile Subscribers (In Billion, 2000 - 2020F) .. 9 Figure 3: Worldwide Mobile Subscriber Penetration (In Percent, 2000 - 2020F) . 11 Figure 4: Important Penetration Landmarks - Worldwide . 13 Figure 5: Evolution of Dominance - Regional Share of Worldwide Mobile Subscriber Base (2000 - 2009F) .. 14 Figure 6: Mobile Subscriber Growth - Regional (In Percent, 2001 - 2009F) .. 15 Figure 7: Worldwide Mobile Subscribers - Break-out by Technology (In Percent, 2009F) .. 16 Figure 8: The Evolution of Mobile VAS .. 17 Figure 9: Worldwide Mobile VAS Revenues (In USD Billion, 2009F) . 18 Figure 10: Worldwide Mobile Messaging Revenues - In USD Billion (2000 - 2014F) . 18 Figure 11: Worldwide Mobile Entertainment Revenues - In USD Billion (2006 - 2013F) 19
Figure 12: Worldwide Mobile Handset Shipments - In Million (2000 - 2014F) . 20 Figure 13: Worldwide Mobile Handset Revenues - In USD Billion (2000 - 2014F) .. 21 Figure 14: Mobile Subscribers - Europe (In Million, 2000 - 2020F) .. 22 Figure 15: Europe's Mobile Subscriber Penetration (In Percent, 2000 - 2020F) . 23 Figure 16: Important Penetration Landmarks - Europe 23 Figure 17: Mobile Subscribers - Germany (In Million, 2000 - 2014F) 24 Figure 18: MNOs- Market Share - Germany (In Percent, Q2 2009) 25 Figure 19: Technology Status - Germany (In Percent, Q2 2009) . 25 Figure 20: Mobile Subscribers - Italy (In Million, 2000 ? 2014F) .. 26 Figure 21: MNOs: Market Share - Italy (In Percent, Q2 2009) 26 Figure 22: Technology Status - Italy (In Percent, Q2 2009) 27
Figure 23: Mobile Subscribers - Russia (In Million, 2000 - 2014F) . 27 Figure 24: MNOs: Market Share - Russia (In Percent, Q2 2009) . 28 Figure 25: Technology Status - Russia (In Percent, Q2 2009) .. 28 Figure 26: Mobile Subscribers - Asia Pacific (In Million, 2000 - 2020F) . 29 Figure 27: Asia Pacific's Mobile Subscriber Penetration (In Percent, 2000 - 2020F) 30 Figure 28: Important Penetration Landmarks - Asia Pacific .. 30 Figure 29: Mobile Subscribers - China (In Million, 2000 - 2014F) 32 Figure 30: MNOs: Market Share - China (In Percent, Q2 2009) 32 Figure 31: Technology Status - China (In Percent, Q2 2009) . 33 Figure 32: Mobile Subscribers - India (In Million, 2000 - 2014F) 33 Figure 33: MNOs: Market Share - India (In Percent, Q2 2009) . 34 Figure 34: Technology Status - India (In Percent, Q2 2009) .. 34 Figure 35: Mobile Subscribers - Indonesia (In Million, 2000 - 2014F) .. 35 Figure 36: MNOs: Market Share - Indonesia (In Percent, Q2 2009) 35
Figure 37: Technology Status - Indonesia (In Percent, Q2 2009) 36 Figure 38: Mobile Subscribers - North America (In Million, 2000 - 2020F) 37 Figure 39: North America's Mobile Subscriber Penetration (In Percent, 2000 - 2020F) . 38 Figure 40: Important Penetration Landmarks - North America . 38 Figure 41: Mobile Subscribers - Canada (In Million, 2000 - 2014F) .. 39 Figure 42: MNOs: Market Share ? Canada (In Percent, Q2 2009) 40 Figure 43: Technology Status - Canada (In Percent, Q2 2009) 40 Figure 44: Mobile Subscribers - The US (In Million, 2000 - 2014F) 41 Figure 45: MNOs: Market Share - The US (In Percent, Q2 2009) 41 Figure 46: Technology Status - The US (In Percent, Q2 2009) . 42 Figure 47: Mobile Subscribers - Latin America (In Million, 2000 - 2020F) . 43
Figure 48: Latin America's Mobile Subscriber Penetration (In Percent, 2000 - 2020F) .. 44 Figure 49: Important Penetration Landmarks - Latin America .. 44 Figure 50: Mobile Subscribers - Argentina (In Million, 2000 - 2014F) .. 46 Figure 51: MNOs: Market Share - Argentina (In Percent, Q2 2009) 46 Figure 52: Technology Status - Argentina (In Percent, Q2 2009) . 47 Figure 53: Mobile Subscribers - Brazil (In Million, 2000 - 2014F) .. 47 Figure 54: MNOs: Market Share - Brazil (In Percent, Q2 2009) 48 Figure 55: Technology Status - Brazil (In Percent, Q2 2009) . 48 Figure 56: Mobile Subscribers - Mexico (In Million, 2000 - 2014F) 49 Figure 57: MNOs: Market Share - Mexico (In Percent, Q2 2009) . 49 Figure 58: Technology Status - Mexico (In Percent, Q2 2009) .. 50
Figure 59: Mobile Subscribers - Africa and Middle East (In Million, 2000 - 2020F) .. 51 Figure 60: Africa and Middle East's Mobile Subscriber Penetration (In Percent, 2000 - 2020F) . 52 Figure 61: Important Penetration Landmarks - Africa and Middle East 52 Figure 62: Mobile Subscribers - Egypt (In Million, 2000 - 2014F) 54 Figure 63: MNOs: Market Share - Egypt (In Percent, Q2 2009) 54 Figure 64: Technology Status - Egypt (In Percent, Q2 2009) . 55 Figure 65: Mobile Subscribers - Iran (In Million, 2000 - 2014F) 55 Figure 66: MNOs: Market Share - Iran (In Percent, Q2 2009) 56 Figure 67: Mobile Subscribers - Nigeria (In Million, 2000 - 2014F) . 56 Figure 68: MNOs: Market Share - Nigeria (In Percent, Q2 2009) . 57 Figure 69: Technology Status - Nigeria (In Percent, Q2 2009) .. 57
Figure 70: Mobile Subscribers - South Africa (In Million, 2000 ? 2014F).. 58 Figure 71: MNOs: Market Share - South Africa (In Percent, Q2 2009) .. 58 Figure 72: Technology Status - South Africa (In Percent, Q2 2009) .. 59
List of Tables Table 1: Worldwide Population (In Million, 2000 - 2020F) 10 Table 2: Worldwide Mobile Subscriber Base Growth (Year-on-year, in Percent, 2001 - 2020F) .. 12 Table 3: Europe Mobile Subscriber Base Growth (Year-on-year, in Percent, 2001 - 2020F) . 24 Table 4: Asia Pacific Mobile Subscriber Base Growth (Year-on-year, in Percent, 2001 - 2020F) 31 Table 5: North America Mobile Subscriber Base Growth (Year-on-year, in Percent, 2001 - 2020F) . 39 Table 6: Latin America Mobile Subscriber Base Growth (Year-on-year, in Percent, 2001 - 2020F) .. 45 Table 7: Africa and Middle East Mobile Subscriber Base Growth (Year-on-year, in Percent, 2001 - 2020F) 53
