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Africa & Middle East Subscriber Totals 1Q06 - 2Q09 | Africa Mobile Penetration | Africa Mobile Subscriber Growth q-o-q

At the end of 2010 there were some 175 mobile operators with live operations in Africa (excluding MVNOs); compared to 158 active in the first quarter 2008 there were some 158. Approximately 60 percent are affiliated in some way with major international telecommunciations groups e.g. Bharti Airtel, MTN, Vodafone, etc.
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1Q 2011 Mobile Operator Subscriber Data & Forecasts 2005-2011 by Country, by Operator available now!
70 states :: 224 mobile operators :: 70 charts :: 29,008 data points

By the end of 3Q 2010 mobile subscribers in Africa had smashed through the half billion mark and according to Blycroft Mobile Operator database there were some 508.6 million subscribers. Quarterly growth had been falling on a quarter-by-quarter basis until Q2 2010; the resulting upturn in 3Q 2010 is due to Bharti Airtel's arrival in the market, having acquired 15 operations from Zain. Airtel set about winning market share at the cost of yield, and the longer term effects of this strategy have yet to be seen.

Africa & Middle East Mobile Subscribers & % q-o-q growth 3Q 2008 - 3Q 2010

Source: Industry data & estimates c. 2011 Blycroft Ltd

In the second quarter of 2009 Vodacom's operations in South Africa made it the largest Mobile Network Opertor in Africa - but one year later it had been relagated to fourth place. This clip charts Vodacom's fall from grace, and the emergence of MTN Nigeria as the largest MNO on the continent.

Tracking Africa's Top 10 MNO's 2008-2010

Mobile phone penetration in Africa for 3Q 2008 stood at some 35 percent, and by 3Q 2010 mobile penetration had achieved a satisfactory 50 percent. So far mobile penetration has enjoyed consistant growth over the last eight quarters. If this growth continued then Africa would achieve 100 percent mobile penetration by 1Q 2014. One factor in accessing mobile penetration is the high level of multiple SIM card ownership in Africa, due primarily to the variable coverage provided by individual networks. On its acquisition of the Zain business in early 2010, Bharti put this figure as high as 50% (so a typical African subscriber might own 1.5 SIM cards).

African Mobile Penetration 3Q08-3Q10

Source: Industry data & estimates c. 2011 Blycroft Ltd



In Africa the quarterly net additions can be seen slowing from 3Q 2008 through to 2Q 2010, after which Airtel's arrival gives a boost to the net additions for 3Q 2010, and sees the Net Additions figure record a remarkable 65% increase, and so reversing the previous trend. Meanwhile the Middle East is reflecting its greater maturity and higher mobile penetration with quarterly net additions trending downwards.

African Mobile Net Additions quarter-on-quarter 3Q08-3Q10

Source: Industry data & estimates c. 2011 Blycroft Ltd

Blycroft researches and analyses mobile subscriber trends by operator and by state in each weekly issue of Africa & Middle East Telecom Week. You can now access this data for your own management briefings and internal forecasts. Just browse down the list below and make your selection(s). Your selected data will be e-mailed to you.


Sample Data

Bahrain Mobile Operators 1Q 2006 - 4Q 2007: Mobile Subscribers & Mobile Penetration></center></p>
<p>Source: Industry data & estimates c. 2009 Blycroft Ltd</p>

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Middle East Mobile Group Market Share 1Q 2007

Middle East Mobile Group Market Share 1Q 2007

Middle East Group Growth 1Q 2006 - 4Q 2007

Source: industry sources, Blycroft estimates c. Blycroft 2007

Blycroft's mobile operator subscriber database permits the presentation of the data in a variety of ways to allow readers to discern emerging trends and longer term developments. In this analysis we looked at Middle East Mobile Group Market Share as at 1Q 2007. For this analysis we show the full subscriber numbers for each individual operator that forms part of a Group. By way of illustration, Zantel’s subscriber base is attributed in full to Etisalat, on the basis that although Etisalat has a minority holding, it is the largest stakeholder. In recognition of its market position, and also to avodi the ‘double counting’of subscribers, Vodacom is shown as a Group, despite a significant stake in the business being held by Vodafone.

This data can be reworked to show the equity interest, and so allow readers to highlight the major acquisitions and disposals of equity on a quarterly basis. This enables the tracking of investment strategies of the main investors within the market.

A & ME SUBSCRIBER STATISTICS:

Gulf States Mobile Network Subscriber Statistics: 1Q 2006

Blycroft’s Mobile Network Subscriber Statistics for the Gulf States cover 10 countries and 44,379,215 subscribers.

Mobile subscribers in the Middle East Gulf States by country

Country

Subscribers 1Q 06

Regional Share %

Afghanistan

1,130,000

3%

Bahrain

808,000

2%

Iran

9,190,211

21%

Iraq

5,839,638

13%

Kuwait

2,425,055

5%

Oman

1,601,500

4%

Qatar

800,000

2%

Saudi Arabia

15,518,706

35%

UAE

4,766,105

11%

Yemen

2,300,000

5%

     

Regional Total

44,379,215

100%

Source: Blycroft Ltd

Copyright 2011 Blycroft Ltd

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